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The best long-term forex strategies

Опубликовано в Binary options strategy download | Октябрь 2, 2012

the best long-term forex strategies

A successful long-term forex strategy relies on thorough research and a clear plan. Although the plan can be adjusted as the trade progresses. Trend trading is a popular longer-term forex trading strategy that involves following the prevailing trend or directional movement in the. Trade Now With Multi-Regulated Broker XM With 24/7 Support in 30+ Languages. 100 INDICATOR FOR BINARY OPTIONS To learn The most Express Setup, or potentially manager and. You will you mean will not. Legal values a VA overly complex for Next.

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The best long-term forex strategies amazon share price prediction the best long-term forex strategies

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Fundamentals are seldom used; however, it is not unheard of to incorporate economic events as a substantiating factor. There are several other strategies that fall within the price action bracket as outlined above. Price action trading can be utilised over varying time periods long, medium and short-term. The ability to use multiple time frames for analysis makes price action trading valued by many traders. Within price action, there is range, trend, day, scalping, swing and position trading.

These strategies adhere to different forms of trading requirements which will be outlined in detail below. The examples show varying techniques to trade these strategies to show just how diverse trading can be, along with a variety of bespoke options for traders to choose from. Range trading includes identifying support and resistance points whereby traders will place trades around these key levels.

This strategy works well in market without significant volatility and no discernible trend. Technical analysis is the primary tool used with this strategy. There is no set length per trade as range bound strategies can work for any time frame.

Managing risk is an integral part of this method as breakouts can occur. Consequently, a range trader would like to close any current range bound positions. Oscillators are most commonly used as timing tools. Price action is sometimes used in conjunction with oscillators to further validate range bound signals or breakouts. Range trading can result in fruitful risk-reward ratios however, this comes along with lengthy time investment per trade.

Use the pros and cons below to align your goals as a trader and how much resources you have. Trend trading is a simple forex strategy used by many traders of all experience levels. Trend trading attempts to yield positive returns by exploiting a markets directional momentum. Trend trading generally takes place over the medium to long-term time horizon as trends themselves fluctuate in length.

As with price action, multiple time frame analysis can be adopted in trend trading. Entry points are usually designated by an oscillator RSI, CCI etc and exit points are calculated based on a positive risk-reward ratio.

Using stop level distances, traders can either equal that distance or exceed it to maintain a positive risk-reward ratio e. If the stop level was placed 50 pips away, the take profit level wold be set at 50 pips or more away from the entry point. The opposite would be true for a downward trend. When you see a strong trend in the market, trade it in the direction of the trend.

Using the CCI as a tool to time entries, notice how each time CCI dipped below highlighted in blue , prices responded with a rally. Not all trades will work out this way, but because the trend is being followed, each dip caused more buyers to come into the market and push prices higher. In conclusion, identifying a strong trend is important for a fruitful trend trading strategy.

Trend trading can be reasonably labour intensive with many variables to consider. The list of pros and cons may assist you in identifying if trend trading is for you. Position trading is a long-term strategy primarily focused on fundamental factors however, technical methods can be used such as Elliot Wave Theory. Smaller more minor market fluctuations are not considered in this strategy as they do not affect the broader market picture.

This strategy can be employed on all markets from stocks to forex. As mentioned above, position trades have a long-term outlook weeks, months or even years! Understanding how economic factors affect markets or thorough technical predispositions, is essential in forecasting trade ideas. Entry and exit points can be judged using technical analysis as per the other strategies. The Germany 30 chart above depicts an approximate two year head and shoulders pattern , which aligns with a probable fall below the neckline horizontal red line subsequent to the right-hand shoulder.

In this selected example, the downward fall of the Germany 30 played out as planned technically as well as fundamentally. Brexit negotiations did not help matters as the possibility of the UK leaving the EU would most likely negatively impact the German economy as well.

In this case, understanding technical patterns as well as having strong fundamental foundations allowed for combining technical and fundamental analysis to structure a strong trade idea. Day trading is a strategy designed to trade financial instruments within the same trading day.

That is, all positions are closed before market close. This can be a single trade or multiple trades throughout the day. Trade times range from very short-term matter of minutes or short-term hours , as long as the trade is opened and closed within the trading day. Traders in the example below will look to enter positions at the when the price breaks through the 8 period EMA in the direction of the trend blue circle and exit using a risk-reward ratio.

The chart above shows a representative day trading setup using moving averages to identify the trend which is long in this case as the price is above the MA lines red and black. Entry positions are highlighted in blue with stop levels placed at the previous price break. Take profit levels will equate to the stop distance in the direction of the trend. The pros and cons listed below should be considered before pursuing this strategy.

Scalping in forex is a common term used to describe the process of taking small profits on a frequent basis. This is achieved by opening and closing multiple positions throughout the day. The most liquid forex pairs are preferred as spreads are generally tighter, making the short-term nature of the strategy fitting. Scalping entails short-term trades with minimal return, usually operating on smaller time frame charts 30 min — 1min.

Like most technical strategies, identifying the trend is step 1. Many scalpers use indicators such as the moving average to verify the trend. Using these key levels of the trend on longer time frames allows the trader to see the bigger picture. These levels will create support and resistance bands. Scalping within this band can then be attempted on smaller time frames using oscillators such as the RSI.

Stops are placed a few pips away to avoid large movements against the trade. The long-term trend is confirmed by the moving average price above MA. Timing of entry points are featured by the red rectangle in the bias of the trader long. Traders use the same theory to set up their algorithms however, without the manual execution of the trader.

With this practical scalp trading example above, use the list of pros and cons below to select an appropriate trading strategy that best suits you. Swing trading is a speculative strategy whereby traders look to take advantage of rang bound as well as trending markets.

Swing trades are considered medium-term as positions are generally held anywhere between a few hours to a few days. Longer-term trends are favoured as traders can capitalise on the trend at multiple points along the trend. The only difference being that swing trading applies to both trending and range bound markets.

A combination of the stochastic oscillator, ATR indicator and the moving average was used in the example above to illustrate a typical swing trading strategy. The upward trend was initially identified using the day moving average price above MA line. Stochastics are then used to identify entry points by looking for oversold signals highlighted by the blue rectangles on the stochastic and chart. Risk management is the final step whereby the ATR gives an indication of stop levels.

The ATR figure is highlighted by the red circles. This figure represents the approximate number of pips away the stop level should be set. For example, if the ATR reads At DailyFX, we recommend trading with a positive risk-reward ratio at a minimum of This would mean setting a take profit level limit at least After seeing an example of swing trading in action, consider the following list of pros and cons to determine if this strategy would suit your trading style.

Carry trades include borrowing one currency at lower rate, followed by investing in another currency at a higher yielding rate. This will ultimately result in a positive carry of the trade. This strategy is primarily used in the forex market. Carry trades are dependent on interest rate fluctuations between the associated currencies therefore, length of trade supports the medium to long-term weeks, months and possibly years. My problem is I lack the necessary patience it needs to be profitable.

You wrote "Trading is all about Math—a good strategy has winners and losers, but at the end of the year, the winners out-weigh the losers. They will, in the strategy, if you follow it with discipline! Great write-up! Very encouraging! I am definitely going back to this strategy in Excellent strategy, I have been looking for a good simple long term strategy,this will free up my time and still allow me to be involved in trading. I totaly agree. But the main think is: why should the market go up or down?

The future events, news, data are unknow, therefore from pragmatic point of view it's pure betting. But makes much more sense betting higher time frame than lower, because of volatilty and more clear trend. If I would know something about the future I can bet on it, otherwise makes no sense..

Thank you, Nathan. You give me hope. I'm a newbie a real rookie. Nathan you are simply a God send. I v been struggling so much with my strategy and have lost quite a bundle but this gives me hope. I am based in Nairobi Kenya and I want in on anything you can teach me just throw it my way coz am willing to learn.

God bless Respected Fx GOD All makes sense. The reason I didn't take it though was because the pair had made a lower high back on Nov Thanks for sharing your strategy, Nathan. It is simple and you explained it very well. It does demonstate that a simple strategy can be very effective and it highlights the importance of patience and money management.

One of my major challenges in trading is patience and that can be very costly. I feel a strong urge to trade every time that I switch on my charts and I know that I am not alone. I am gradually getting comfortable with trading longer term strategies and your reasoning and logic for favouring those give strong evidence that longer term strategies are the way to go.

Hey Mike, glad you enjoyed the article! Yeah, you are definitely NOT alone I, too, struggle with be tempted to take a trade that does not fit my plan just because it "looks good" at that moment in time, but that is definitely not the profitable way to trade Hi Nathan, I agree with longer time frames and specifically days not hours, minutes or weeks. I my self only trade off day charts, and these are my reasons.

The broker is acting against you - he loses if you win, and he wins if you lose. This is in the fine print of all new accounts. A dealing desk will give lower spreads but will actively make you lose. Days are the 'natural' time frame for trading, where as hours or minutes or weeks are arbitrary units.

Candles were always meant to be on days - from the earliest time in Japan this is how they started. Days means you can plan trades at ease. I think these are compelling reasons to trade from day charts, so that's what I do. Joe PS. If you are interested, I just look for trends and jump on. When the MAs are both rising, and the 8 is above the 12, I put a long entry just above the most recent high. I raise the stop to below a candle that suggests the trend may have ended eg a pin bar against my trade.

If it isn't taken out I wait for the MA12 to catch up and keep trailing. Pretty successful! Hey Joe, thanks for the great comment, I really appreciate you putting the time and effort into adding value to this post with a great, informative comment. I don't believe I have ever heard anyone lay out the reasons for using the daily chart as you did, and that is very interesting..

I would love to learn more about your strategy, Perhaps you could write out a nice explanation of it like I did in this article and we could post it on the blog as a guest post by you. I am sure our readers would love to get your perspective! Will advise outcome down the road. Thanks Louis, I appreciate you taking the time to read and also leaving a comment. Let me know how you do using this strategy! Thanks for the information, I plan to start the new year with longer time frames and I was going to use 4 hour charts.

But now I will look at weekly and daily charts more. Thank you. Thanks for reading! I am glad this article may serve as a useful piece of information for you. Feel free to re-post here later on and let us know how your strategy is going using these longer time frames.

Very nice post. Always thought 4hours was long term. My problem with long term as you presented is the fact that stops and loses are usually greater too. Some people think the market is too volatile and unpredictable for you to stay too long in a trade but I'm sure all will agree your analysis is very correct. Hey Tony, thanks for reading. I appreciate you taking time out of your day to read my article and leave a comment as well.

Yeah, unfortunately, you can't really have the best of both worlds with high probability long term trades and still manage tight stops, but the best way to be profitable is to understand how to dial down your risk with smaller size trades and remain consistent even after losses. Using a long term strategy, like this one, takes a lot of patience but it can be very profitable if you stay disciplined. This makes a lot of sense.

It is entirely too easy to look only at a single time frame and ignore the larger picture. Hey Dave, Yeah I agree with you on that. I am definitely guilty of doing that very thing before Thanks for the comment, I think you are right on with the issue of ignoring the big picture! Hi Nathan, thanks for this great post I'm also a great fun of fibo retracement and it's been working very well for me also.

Your strategy confirms that I'm doing something right Thank you Gilberto. Hey Gil, that is great! Glad to hear you are having success using the fibs--they can definitely be a great tool if you use them the right way! Thanks so much for reading my article and leaving a comment, I very much appreciate it!

Great stuff Nathan, I have always believed in long term trading and this by far the best strategy I have come across' I intend to trade this strategy next year on bigger time frames. Awesome, Anthony! Thanks so much for taking the time to read and even trying the strategy; be sure to let me know how you do using this strategy!

Sincerely David. Hey David, thanks very much for reading and leaving a comment. I appreciate the compliment and look forward to a lot more good stuff next year! Hey Anthony, thanks for reading and thanks for the comment! To determine the trend, I usually take a look at the weekly chart and take into account a year or so.. Very good article, Nathan!

Yes, it is all valuable content. It goes with my observation and certainly has the edges required for winning. Thanks for reading Sean! I appreciate you taking the time to leave a comment as well. I am very glad that you enjoyed the article! Thanks Shivam, those are very kind words and I really appreciate you taking the time to read and leave a comment. Glad you enjoyed the article! Hey Roy, thanks for reading and leaving a valuable comment!

Yes, I do agree that understanding your personality is a big part of trading. To me, it is amazing that anyone can be profitable on smaller time frames because the room for error is so minute, but that is certainly very impressive on your behalf! Pretty good stuff Tracy U a good honest Guy Compared to all the crapp out there in the Forex arena!

We appreciate u! Thanks Olu, I appreciate you taking the time to read and leave a comment, and am really glad that the article may be of use to you! Hi Nathan, To me, this is excellent stuff with precious tips and avices like going WITH the longer time frames trend, where to put stop-loss and target, avoiding entry if major level is too close from entry, I will definitely put that strategy into my trading plan! What I love with you and Casey is your honesty and transparency not ONLY showing winners but clearly saying and showing that we will loose too!

I am always amazed with the quality of your articles and the knowledge you already have at your young age. How good wil you be at 30 or 40!!! Just one very basic question: - how do you define and recognize a major level do you always look at candle charts only to spot it?

Thanks so much for all your efforts in helping us trading with an edge. Hey Fabrice. As always, thanks so much for your time and effort into learning and your constant appreciation--it means a lot to us. For me, candlesticks are definitely an important part of seeing levels.. One thing that speaks volumes to me are when there are repeated wicks of a candle that tried to pierce through a certain price level but continued to get rejected.

This shows me that price has made multiple attempts to move to a higher or lower price but kept getting pushed back by the level. When this happens over days and weeks on these longer time frames, I know that this is a big, important level.. Then, what I look to do, is pair that with another level. For instance, if the major horizontal level also corresponds with a Fib from a recent swing or a current trend line, that adds even more value to the price level.

Once I clearly identify these important levels, I just wait for price action to react to them and then attempt to take advantage of the reaction. For me, candlesticks help me "see" price the best, but that definitely does not mean they are the only way to trade profitably--it is just my personal preference and you should have your own preference too!

An interesting read and you are right about the benefits of long term trading and also how novice traders misunderstand what long term trading actually is. I have some questions regarding the strategy. How often do you see the signal bar set up exactly like that say put of 20 retracements?

How do you work out your risk? How many times do you enter in on the trend as it progresses? What is the average number of pips you have taken using this strategy? Hi Zaheer, thanks for reading and leaving some feedback. Let me address your questions: 1. I typically use a risk of. In this strategy, I am not typically going to add to the trade if it does continue in the larger trend direction, because my target is going to be too short to use that methodology. In order to make the strategy as high probability as possible, I am only targeting the "bounce" to the next major level which is not normally going to be far enough away for me to begin adding positions in my favor.

The pip gain on the "bounce method" changes drastically depending on the pair and the largeness of the swing that you are using the fib retracement on. Hope the above answers your questions appropriately. Thanks again for reading and leaving a comment! Thanks Imino, appreciate you taking a look and giving it a try--please let me know how successful you are using it.

Do you want consistent cashflow right now? Our trading coach just doubled an account with this crashing market strategy! Please log in again. The login page will open in a new tab. After logging in you can close it and return to this page. Long Term Trading Strategy for Forex There are many reasons why I believe a long term trading strategy will set you up for success. Author at Trading Strategy Guides Website. David Gordon says:. June 3, at pm.

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